Eddie Power, who played a leading role in the campaign to save the reciprocal health agreement, has been a long-time observer of the political scene both here in the island and in the Channel Islands.
He launched the ‘MHKs They Work For You’ website in 2010 and followed this in 2014 with the Crown Dependencies and British Overseas Territories Political News Facebook and Twitter pages.
Here, he gives Examiner reporter Adrian Darbyshire his assessment of the Allan Bell administration over the last five years – and what the future holds for Manx politics post-election and post-Brexit.
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When I first set up the website ‘MHKs They Work For You’ Tony Brown was Chief Minister, Manx politics were a lot more ‘parish pump’ and we left our MHKs to do as they saw fit with the UK and international agreements and relations.
The first sign of things to come was the attack on the VAT ‘agreement’ then on the reciprocal health agreement by Gordon Brown’s Labour government.
Suddenly the man in the street became vocal and from then the momentum increased. Maybe the use of social media and forums which exploded at the same time added to that momentum.
In the last five years we have seen:
• One Education member (Dudley Butt MLC) resign after a heated exchange in Tynwald over plans to cut funding to libraries and pre-schools. (February 2012)
• Two Education members (Zac Hall and John Houghton MHKs) sacked for opposing their Minister’s cuts to libraries and pre-schools. (April 2012)
• One Minister (Peter Karran MHK) sacked from CoMin for ‘opposing the Council of Minister’s policy on the future of the film industry’. (June 2012)
• One Treasury member (Bill Henderson MHK) sacked because the Treasury Minister was ‘sorry to say he no longer has confidence and trust in Mr Henderson’. (January 2013)
• One member (Richard Ronan MHK) resign from Social Care over ‘crucial policy disagreements’. (December 2013)
• The Department of Community, Culture and Leisure disbanded. (March 2014)
• One Economic Development Minister (John Shimmin MHK) resign after legal experts found a government bail-out of the Sefton Group was ‘outside of government powers’. (June 2014)
• One member (Alf Cannan MHK) resign from the housing section of Health and Social Care over ‘deeply flawed policy’. (September 2014)
• One Minister (Chris Robertshaw MHK) resign from CoMin because of ‘inadequate’ pace of government reform (February 2015)
• Four MHKs moved to the Legislative Council – David Anderson, David Cretney, Tim Crookall and Bill Henderson. (March - June 2015)
• One MHK (Brenda Cannell) retire for personal reasons. (2015)
• Five by-elections – in Glenfaba, Peel, Douglas East, Douglas North and Douglas South. (2015)
• One chairman of the Post Office (Graham Cregeen MHK) sacked for ‘undermining CoMin’s policy’. (March 2016)
• One MHK (John Houghton) suspended from Tynwald and the Keys by the President of Tynwald from May 2016 to present date, for failing to apologise to Tynwald Court.
Add to that state pensions, public sector pensions, health costs, accusations of being a tax haven, Panama Papers, Atos, Dependability and Brexit, and then it can only be described as a demanding five years!
How have our politicians dealt with things?
Pensions
The electorate has now been told that the new Manx state pension will stand at £170 per week for those with 35 qualifying years from 2019 and the Manx supplement will be phased out.
Talk about reforming the state pension has gone on since 2011, when Chris Robertshaw was Minister of Social Care, and with all the little bits of information released over those four years and the scare stories the person in the street must be totally confused.
All he or she knows is that household income, however it comes, is being cut to help out the island’s economy.
And yet when it comes to the very large elephant in the room, one of the biggest drains on the economy, public sector pensions, there is still no conclusion!
Again our MHKs have failed over five years to bite the bullet. What are they frightened of? Add to that the MHK made responsible for finding a solution to the public sector pension issue will not be a member of government or parliament from September 2016.
Whoever picks it up again after the formalities of a new parliament may not see it the same way, so things may go back to the beginning again. What chance is there of a result by the end of the next parliament? There is no doubt government works very slowly.
External relations
Our government has for a long time been very insular, both internationally and nationally.
Our Chief Minister Allan Bell has broken down barriers internationally. We are now working with the Channel Islands, there is power and safety in numbers.
I once asked a politician from the Channel Islands how are Isle of Man politicians viewed there. ‘Arrogant’ was the answer. That was pre-2011! Now in my daily life I have contact with Jersey and Guernsey politicians and I can confirm that relationships are good. Business-wise all three islands will always compete, but on policies and external relationships all three can learn and work together, rather than try and win points over each other.
It is to be hoped that the good work will continue. Maybe it is time we considered a specific External Relations Minister.
Governing the Isle of Man
This government has failed to take the public with them on many things. There has been a culture of turning out consultations like confetti. Ten years ago a consultation was a rare thing, now it is believed that it is the panacea for everything government wishes to bring in.
Anyone can consult, read the results and make whatever they want from it.
There was also Chris Robertshaw’s ‘Big Debate’ but rumour has it other MHKs did not support it, so that fizzled out.
A couple of political retirees told me a few years back, that it was not until they came out of government that they realised how out of touch government is with the public.
I know it sounds corny but government needs to listen. Phil Gawne and a number of others are trying to involve more in democracy and we shall see how that develops.
Some politicians have shown they are afraid of social media, but it is a great way to know what people are thinking. Although our Treasury Minister recently stated that social media was putting people off standing, I note there are a number of those standing who have set up a Facebook page to run with their campaign.
I do agree with the member for Ayre when he said people should not hide behind anonymity.
Again I go back to the government being insular. There is no doubt government believes what it has been doing is right and anyone who spoke against it is wrong or just a troublemaker. This culture must be broken – government does not have a monopoly on being right.
Changing of the guard
I think Allan Bell had decided to go a while back but Brexit and the Panama Papers had him deciding maybe he shouldn’t go. He was, out of the three leaders of the Crown Dependencies, the most experienced politician and as he proved at the anti-corruption summit he was someone not frightened to say what he thought. I think Gorst (Jersey) or St Pier (Guernsey) could take Bell’s position as group leader, but I cannot see who here can pick up the mantle.
I think Eddie Teare had just had enough, he knew he wouldn’t ever be Chief Minister. It has been hard work and long hours being Treasury Minister.
John Shimmin was another one who could go no further, after serving his time over Sefton, he had not returned as a full Minister which he expected and wanted to do.
Richie Ronan is a nice guy whose skin is not thick enough for the cut and thrust of politics. He has been attacked from all sides politically and policy-wise. He could not even return to his constituency to relax – even there the attacking was relentless. I am amazed he stayed as long as he did.
Politics either here or off-island is a 24-hour job with rolling news and the internet and there is no such thing as a weekend off.
New MHKs
New MHKs go in with plans to make a change and they promise things to their constituents and island residents. When they fail to do it the word goes out that all MHKs are the same – they get in and forget their promises.
You can promise the world, but when you get elected you have to convince the civil service your promise is good and workable and then you have to convince the 23 other MHKs, then get it through Tynwald without it being amended down to nothing or kicked in to the ‘long grass’.
Being a new MHK is like being a new pupil in school. Some experienced MHKs will help you, some will ignore you and some will tell you keep your head down in your first year or so.
We now know that new and old MHKs will have to elect a new Chief Minister, and with a limited number of candidates with experience that’s not an easy choice. It is to be hoped that the choice will not come down just to someone who has made it obvious he or she wants the job.
Experience, diplomacy and being able to work with other politicians from the UK, Crown Dependencies and most importantly able to communicate and take the people of the island with them are all the things a new Chief Minister will need.
Whoever it is will not be loved by all and will need a very thick skin.
The next five years
With a new Chief Minister and CoMin let’s hope the next five years are not spent changing what has happened in the last five. There is a saying in Westminster the first five years of a new government is spent changing everything the previous did, and the second five are when you can start to work properly. Again I say, I hope we do not follow that pattern. This island cannot and will not handle that.
Brexit
With Brexit no one really knows what will happen here or in the UK.
We now have the UK saying ‘we want to start leaving negotiations in maybe two years and by the way we want to keep all the good stuff and drop the bad stuff’. The EU – quite rightly – will not accept that. You can’t decide to leave and then say but ‘only on our terms’. What is Theresa May going to do if the EU say ‘no you can’t have any of those’? She can’t threaten to stay in the EU.
We could keep Zero/10, but if the Brexit negotiations go through with the EU we could be blacklisted again over it. But then with the UK, Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland all dropping the corporation tax rates it may be of less benefit to us.
I think the Channel Islands changed their Zero/10 because they felt there was no benefit, but they always said we wouldn’t change ours because we thought of the idea.